We said: Ourense CF 1-2 Valencia
Ourense have already claimed some big results in this season's competition, and they will be coming up against a Valencia side that are having a difficult campaign; we are expecting it to be close in terms of the scoreline, but Los Che should have enough quality to navigate their spot in the quarter-finals of the competition.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Ourense CF had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.94%), while for a Ourense CF win it was 1-0 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.