Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 13, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
Union SGvs.Ajax
We say: Union SG 1-1 Ajax
While both sides are improving, neither score bucket loads of goals, so a tight contest could unfold across the two legs. An away draw would set Ajax up as favourites to progress after next week's return, and they should be able to keep in-form Union at arm's length. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Union SG has a probability of 30.34% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Union SG win is 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.7%).
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Ajax |
30.34% ( 0.06) | 24.82% ( 0.11) | 44.85% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.47% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
