MX23RW : Tuesday, February 11 23:08:33| >> :60:2191:2191:
Porto
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Roma logo

Porto
vs.
Roma

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Porto and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, February 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Roma
Sunday, February 9 at 11.30am in Serie A

We say: Porto 1-1 Roma

Unbeaten in eight Serie A matches - after losing seven of the previous nine - Roma have certainly turned a corner, but they still lack resilience on the road. Now adapting to the tactics of another new coach, Porto are enduring a tough time themselves, so the Dragons may have to settle for a first-leg draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw has a probability of 24% and a win for Roma has a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Roma win it is 0-1 (6.72%).

Result
PortoDrawRoma
54.18% (-4.256 -4.26) 24.01% (1.537 1.54) 21.81% (2.718 2.72)
Both teams to score 51.21% (-0.66999999999999 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.27% (-2.964 -2.96)49.72% (2.963 2.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.26% (-2.715 -2.72)71.73% (2.713 2.71)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (-2.577 -2.58)18.26% (2.575 2.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.69% (-4.571 -4.57)49.31% (4.569 4.57)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.65% (1.118 1.12)37.35% (-1.12 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.86% (1.085 1.09)74.14% (-1.086 -1.09)
Score Analysis
    Porto 54.17%
    Roma 21.81%
    Draw 24.01%
PortoDrawRoma
1-0 @ 11.59% (0.42 0.42)
2-0 @ 9.86% (-0.489 -0.49)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.803 -0.8)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.602 -0.6)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.207 -0.21)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.585 -0.59)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.488 -0.49)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.199 -0.2)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 54.17%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.75 0.75)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.786 0.79)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.952 0.95)
1-2 @ 5.62% (0.524 0.52)
0-2 @ 3.31% (0.554 0.55)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.222 0.22)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.209 0.21)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 21.81%

Who will win Thursday's Europa League clash between Porto and Roma?

Porto
Draw
Roma
Porto
100%
Draw
0.0%
Roma
0.0%
1
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2019 8pm
Round of 16
Porto
3-1
Roma
Feb 12, 2019 8pm
Round of 16
Roma
2-1
Porto
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
Playoffs
Roma
0-3
Porto

Gerson (90')
De Rossi (39'), Emerson (50')
Felipe (8'), Layun (73'), Corona (75')
Herrera (14'), Otavio (31'), Oliveira (57'), Silva (66')
Aug 17, 2016 7.45pm
Playoffs
Porto
1-1
Roma
Silva (61' pen.)
Andre (63'), Pereira (95')
Felipe (21' og.)
Manolas (14'), Vermaelan (28'), Strootman (56'), Palmieri (60'), De Rossi (95')
Vermaelan (41')
rhs 2.0
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5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
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7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
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13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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