We say: Porto 1-1 Roma
Unbeaten in eight Serie A matches - after losing seven of the previous nine - Roma have certainly turned a corner, but they still lack resilience on the road.
Now adapting to the tactics of another new coach, Porto are enduring a tough time themselves, so the Dragons may have to settle for a first-leg draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw has a probability of 24% and a win for Roma has a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Roma win it is 0-1 (6.72%).