MX23RW : Tuesday, February 11 23:03:18| >> :60:1876:1876:
AZ Alkmaar
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Galatasaray

AZ
vs.
Galatasaray

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 2-0 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, February 9 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Gaziantep 0-1 Galatasaray
Monday, February 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We say: AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Galatasaray

Both teams have scored in all eight of Galatasaray's Europa League fixtures this season, with their games seeing more goals than any other teams in the League Phase (35), while both sides have scored in four of AZ Alkmaar's last five matches in the competition. Goals at both ends are therefore expected, but as these two teams are keen to not lose and remain in the tie ahead of next week's second leg, we can see the spoils being shared once again at the AFAS Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Galatasaray has a probability of 28.96% and a draw has a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Galatasaray win is 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.5%).

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawGalatasaray
47.9% (3.612 3.61) 23.14% (0.16 0.16) 28.96% (-3.773 -3.77)
Both teams to score 61.47% (-2.766 -2.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.45% (-2.728 -2.73)39.55% (2.728 2.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.11% (-2.901 -2.9)61.89% (2.901 2.9)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (0.325 0.33)16.79% (-0.324 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.24% (0.575 0.58)46.75% (-0.575 -0.58)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87% (-3.624 -3.62)26.12% (3.624 3.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (-5.132 -5.13)61.19% (5.132 5.13)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 47.9%
    Galatasaray 28.96%
    Draw 23.13%
AZ AlkmaarDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.424 0.42)
1-0 @ 7.83% (1.03 1.03)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.984 0.98)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.31 0.31)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.623 0.62)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.186 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.163 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.295 0.3)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 47.9%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.384 -0.38)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.536 0.54)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.279 -0.28)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.512 -0.51)
0-1 @ 5.89% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.333 -0.33)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.606 -0.61)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.504 -0.5)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.362 -0.36)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.343 -0.34)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.294 -0.29)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 28.96%

Who will win Thursday's Europa League clash between AZ and Galatasaray?

AZ Alkmaar
Draw
Galatasaray
AZ Alkmaar
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Galatasaray
100%
1
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2024 5.45pm
League Stage
AZ
1-1
Galatasaray
Mijnans (2')
van Bommel (6'), Parrott (73'), Smit (88')
Smit (90+2')
Osimhen (43')
Mertens (84'), Osimhen (88'), Sanchez (89'), Akgun (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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