Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.