Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 5, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Arena da Baixada
Athletico PR0 - 0Estudiantes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, July 31 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 31 at 8pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Fluminense | 20 | 9 | 35 |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 20 | 5 | 34 |
| 5 | Flamengo | 20 | 11 | 33 |
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-0 Banfield
Saturday, July 30 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, July 30 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-0 Estudiantes
The hosts come into this match in better form, and we expect them to secure a narrow victory to protect in the second leg. Estudiantes have been in great form throughout the Copa Libertadores this season so will be no pushovers, especially with a more defensive system likely to be on the cards. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Estudiantes |
56.65% ( -0.09) | 23.75% ( 0.05) | 19.6% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.82% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
