MX23RW : Sunday, July 21 16:40:12| >> :600:3277504:3277504:
San Lorenzo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 17, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
Liverpool (Uruguay)

San Lorenzo
3 - 2
Liverpool

Leguizamon (5'), Cuello (45+5'), Campi (87')
Irala (32'), Cuello (42'), Barrios (50'), Leguizamon (51'), Ferreira (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Garcia (24'), Rodriguez (62')
Barrios (33'), Lemos (36'), Rodriguez (85'), Rodriguez (90+3')
de los Santos (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between San Lorenzo and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 1-0 San Lorenzo
Sunday, May 12 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 12 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

We said: San Lorenzo 1-0 Liverpool

This affair is setting up to be a close one as both sides are level on points and have struggled to find the net. However, home advantage could tip the scale for San Lorenzo here as Liverpool did not perform well in their only away game so far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 23.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.

Result
San LorenzoDrawLiverpool
50.51% (0.727 0.73) 26.45% (0.256 0.26) 23.04% (-0.985 -0.98)
Both teams to score 45.69% (-1.694 -1.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.25% (-1.69 -1.69)57.74% (1.687 1.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.51% (-1.354 -1.35)78.49% (1.352 1.35)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (-0.396 -0.4)22.97% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.24% (-0.58 -0.58)56.76% (0.577 0.58)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.32% (-1.887 -1.89)40.68% (1.883 1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.73% (-1.741 -1.74)77.27% (1.738 1.74)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 50.49%
    Liverpool 23.04%
    Draw 26.45%
San LorenzoDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 13.74% (0.71 0.71)
2-0 @ 10.1% (0.401 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.96% (0.145 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 50.49%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.34% (0.585 0.58)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.259 -0.26)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.41% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.56% (-0.284 -0.28)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 23.04%

How you voted: San Lorenzo vs Liverpool

San Lorenzo
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
Liverpool
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Liverpool
1-0
San Lorenzo
Nicola Albanell (90+5')
Rodriguez (62')

Lujan (43'), Romana (48'), Remedi (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bournemouth00000000
2Arsenal00000000
3Aston Villa00000000
4Brentford00000000
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton00000000
6Chelsea00000000
7Crystal Palace00000000
8Everton00000000
9Fulham00000000
10Ipswich TownIpswich00000000
11Leicester CityLeicester00000000
12Liverpool00000000
13Manchester CityMan City00000000
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd00000000
15Newcastle UnitedNewcastle00000000
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest00000000
17Southampton00000000
18Tottenham HotspurSpurs00000000
19West Ham UnitedWest Ham00000000
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves00000000


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