Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
Portsmouth3 - 1Stoke
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, January 18 at 3.35pm in Championship
Saturday, January 18 at 3.35pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
25
We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Stoke City
Portsmouth will be targeting another home win after winning five of their last six matches at Fratton Park, but we think that they may have to settle for a point when they face a Stoke side that have drawn each of their previous three games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Stoke City |
37.84% ( 0.93) | 26.01% ( 0.03) | 36.15% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
