Only Atalanta, Feyenoord and Liverpool have won more points away from home in the league phase than Brest, so travelling to some of Europe's elite has not been daunting at all, and they will be in an expectant mood in Germany.
Shakhtar have quite literally been out in the cold for over a month, with no competitive action since mid-December, and they have been largely disappointing in Europe, with the ongoing war seriously affecting their ability to deal in the transfer market, weakening the squad year-on-year.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Brest had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
1.21) 
-0.18) 
