MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:12:32| >> :60:3054:3054:
Milan logo
Champions League | League Stage
Jan 22, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Girona logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Girona

Leao (37')
Calabria (41'), Hernandez (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gil (59'), Martin (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Girona

Both sides will keep travelling in opposite directions, as Milan have won their last four Champions League games and Girona have lost the last three. The hosts may be hit-and-miss, but they are always tougher to beat at San Siro, where the home fans should celebrate another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Girona had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
AC MilanDrawGirona
56.12% (0.125 0.13) 23.48% (0.125 0.13) 20.4% (-0.25 -0.25)
Both teams to score 50.86% (-0.759 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.82% (-0.82 -0.82)49.19% (0.82 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.75% (-0.745 -0.74)71.25% (0.744 0.74)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (-0.25200000000001 -0.25)17.34% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.27% (-0.444 -0.44)47.73% (0.443 0.44)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.53% (-0.72799999999999 -0.73)38.47% (0.727 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.78% (-0.703 -0.7)75.22% (0.70099999999999 0.7)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 56.11%
    Girona 20.4%
    Draw 23.47%
AC MilanDrawGirona
1-0 @ 11.68% (0.29 0.29)
2-0 @ 10.23% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.98% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 56.11%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.221 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.47%
0-1 @ 6.37% (0.088 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.33% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 20.4%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Girona

AC Milan
85.5%
Draw
8.7%
Girona
5.8%
173
rhs 2.0
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