Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 13, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Monumental
Universitario1 - 1Defensa
Quintero Medina (45+5')
Corzo (63'), Leonardo Rugel Moran (85'), Alfageme (87'), Fernando Zevallos Villanueva (90')
Corzo (63'), Leonardo Rugel Moran (85'), Alfageme (87'), Fernando Zevallos Villanueva (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Universitario | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 40.42% | 26.01% | 33.57% |
| Both teams to score 53.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.44% | 50.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.52% | 72.47% |
| Universitario Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.33% | 24.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.8% | 59.2% |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% | 28.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.6% | 64.39% |
| Score Analysis |
Universitario 40.42%
Defensa y Justicia 33.57%
Draw 26.01%
| Universitario | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.42% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-2 @ 5.53% 1-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.57% |
Head to Head
Form Guide
