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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 26, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Bragantino

Tolima
1 - 2
Bragantino

Fernando Caicedo (37')
Narvaez (17'), Pablo Nieto (39'), Celis (44'), Fernando Caicedo (76'), Angulo (87')
Celis (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ytalo (41'), Evangelista (80')
Candido (43'), Helinho (64'), Ortiz (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Deportes Tolima and Bragantino.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 39.97%. A draw had a probability of 33.2% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (6.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.58%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Deportes TolimaDrawBragantino
39.97%33.24%26.79%
Both teams to score 33.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
25.28%74.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
9.89%90.1%
Deportes Tolima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.78%37.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99%74%
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.75%47.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.33%82.67%
Score Analysis
    Deportes Tolima 39.97%
    Bragantino 26.78%
    Draw 33.23%
Deportes TolimaDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 17.38%
2-0 @ 8.59%
2-1 @ 6.44%
3-0 @ 2.83%
3-1 @ 2.12%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.97%
0-0 @ 17.58%
1-1 @ 13.03%
2-2 @ 2.41%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 33.23%
0-1 @ 13.18%
0-2 @ 4.94%
1-2 @ 4.89%
0-3 @ 1.24%
1-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 26.78%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2021 11.15pm
Group Stage
Bragantino
2-1
Tolima
Castrillon (10' og.), Ytalo (45'), Mosquera (90+4' pen.)
Balanta (11'), Helinho (28'), Estaban Trujillo Riascos (56'), Ryller (79'), David Rios (88'), Quinones (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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