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Internacional (Brasil)
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio José Pinheiro Borda

Internacional
0 - 0
Melgar


de Pena (90+2')
Gabriel (74')
FT

Reyna (55')
Melgar win 3-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Internacional and Melgar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Internacional

Last Six:
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-0 Internacional
Sunday, August 7 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Melgar

Last Six:
    Last Game: Melgar 0-0 Internacional
    Thursday, August 4 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

    We said: Internacional 2-0 Melgar

     Melgar have had a record-breaking run in this season's Copa Sudamericana, but we think that it is likely to come to an end in Porto Alegre on Thursday. The hosts have more individual quality and, providing that they keep their cool with 11 men on the pitch, should have too much in front of their home fans. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Melgar had a probability of 20.6%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Melgar win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

    Result
    InternacionalDrawMelgar
    53.44% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 25.96% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08) 20.6%
    Both teams to score 44.13% (0.2 0.2)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    41.74% (0.265 0.27)58.26% (-0.267 -0.27)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    21.11% (0.207 0.21)78.89% (-0.20899999999999 -0.21)
    Internacional Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    78.09% (0.14100000000001 0.14)21.91% (-0.143 -0.14)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    44.83% (0.218 0.22)55.17% (-0.219 -0.22)
    Melgar Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    56.51% (0.153 0.15)43.49% (-0.156 -0.16)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    20.3% (0.128 0.13)79.7% (-0.13 -0.13)
    Score Analysis
        Internacional 53.44%
        Melgar 20.6%
        Draw 25.95%
    InternacionalDrawMelgar
    1-0 @ 14.46% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
    2-0 @ 10.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    2-1 @ 9.14% (0.026 0.03)
    3-0 @ 5.56% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
    3-1 @ 4.63% (0.033 0.03)
    4-0 @ 2.11% (0.015 0.02)
    3-2 @ 1.93% (0.022 0.02)
    4-1 @ 1.76% (0.02 0.02)
    Other @ 2.88%
    Total : 53.44%
    		1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
    0-0 @ 9.53% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
    2-2 @ 3.81% (0.027 0.03)
    Other @ 0.58%
    Total : 25.95%
    		0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.046 -0.05)
    1-2 @ 5.02% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
    0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    1-3 @ 1.39% (0.01 0.01)
    2-3 @ 1.06% (0.012 0.01)
    0-3 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
    Other @ 0.98%
    Total : 20.6%

    How you voted: Internacional vs Melgar

    Internacional
    72.2%
    Draw
    16.7%
    Melgar
    11.1%
    18
    Head to Head
    Aug 4, 2022 11.15pm
    Melgar
    0-0
    Internacional

    Cuesta (58'), Deneumostier (90+5')

    Alemao (30'), Bustos (41')
    Alemao (65')
    rhs 2.0
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