Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 5, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Arsenio Erico
Sportivo2 - 0Ameliano
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Sportivo Luqueno and Sportivo Ameliano.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ameliano 0-0 Libertad (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, August 22 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, August 22 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sportivo Ameliano win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sportivo Ameliano win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Sportivo Luqueno win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sportivo Luqueno | Draw | Sportivo Ameliano |
29.25% ( -0) | 28.2% ( -0) | 42.55% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 45.63% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.8% ( -0) | 60.2% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.61% ( -0) | 80.39% ( 0) |
| Sportivo Luqueno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.37% ( -0) | 36.63% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.58% ( -0) | 73.42% ( 0) |
| Sportivo Ameliano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( -0) | 27.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.37% ( -0) | 63.63% |
| Score Analysis |
Sportivo Luqueno 29.24%
Sportivo Ameliano 42.55%
Draw 28.2%
| Sportivo Luqueno | Draw | Sportivo Ameliano |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 6.58% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.17% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.86% Total : 29.24% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 13.05% 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 8.31% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.74% Total : 42.55% |
Form Guide
