Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16
Dec 4, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Vasco0 - 1Defensa
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 16 clash between Vasco da Gama and Defensa y Justicia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 34.73% | 28.72% | 36.54% |
| Both teams to score 45.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
