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League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 23, 2025 at 8pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Birmingham logo

Wrexham
1 - 1
Birmingham

Rathbone (9')
Rathbone (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dykes (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Wrexham and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Wrexham
Thursday, January 16 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 1-1 Birmingham City

Unbeaten at their home pitch in League One this season, Wrexham are unlikely to be seriously fazed by the arrival of the league leaders on Thursday night. Without key midfielders and attackers, Birmingham might need to hold on at times in North Wales, although they should be good enough for a share of the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawBirmingham City
28.93% (-0.307 -0.31) 26.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 44.63% (0.27 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.51% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1% (-0.291 -0.29)53.9% (0.295 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (-0.245 -0.25)75.36% (0.24900000000001 0.25)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)33.51% (0.385 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-0.423 -0.42)70.15% (0.42700000000001 0.43)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (0.0049999999999955 0)24.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)58.31%
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 28.93%
    Birmingham City 44.63%
    Draw 26.43%
WrexhamDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.93%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 11.48% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.18% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.63%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Birmingham

Wrexham
39.7%
Draw
28.6%
Birmingham City
31.7%
63
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 6
Birmingham
3-1
Wrexham
Stansfield (22', 52'), Iwata (59')
Klarer (36'), Gardner-Hickman (54'), Bielik (81'), Anderson (82')
Bielik (86')
Marriott (3')
Cannon (81'), McClean (81'), Mullin (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623


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