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League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 23, 2025 at 8pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Birmingham logo

Wrexham
1 - 1
Birmingham

Rathbone (9')
Rathbone (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dykes (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Wrexham and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Wrexham
Thursday, January 16 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 1-1 Birmingham City

Unbeaten at their home pitch in League One this season, Wrexham are unlikely to be seriously fazed by the arrival of the league leaders on Thursday night. Without key midfielders and attackers, Birmingham might need to hold on at times in North Wales, although they should be good enough for a share of the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawBirmingham City
28.93% (-0.307 -0.31) 26.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 44.63% (0.27 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.51% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1% (-0.291 -0.29)53.9% (0.295 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (-0.245 -0.25)75.36% (0.24900000000001 0.25)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)33.51% (0.385 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-0.423 -0.42)70.15% (0.42700000000001 0.43)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (0.0049999999999955 0)24.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)58.31%
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 28.93%
    Birmingham City 44.63%
    Draw 26.43%
WrexhamDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.93%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 11.48% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.18% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.63%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Birmingham

Wrexham
39.7%
Draw
28.6%
Birmingham City
31.7%
63
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 6
Birmingham
3-1
Wrexham
Stansfield (22', 52'), Iwata (59')
Klarer (36'), Gardner-Hickman (54'), Bielik (81'), Anderson (82')
Bielik (86')
Marriott (3')
Cannon (81'), McClean (81'), Mullin (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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