MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 21:57:49| >> :600:280192:280192:
Porto
Europa League | League Stage
Jan 23, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Olympiacos

Porto
0 - 1
Olympiacos


Perez (23'), Omorodion (53'), Borges (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
El Kaabi (79')
Garcia (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Porto and Olympiacos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-1 Porto
Sunday, January 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Atromitos 1-2 Olympiacos
Sunday, January 19 at 1pm in Greek Superleague

We said: Porto 1-1 Olympiacos

While Porto have scored 12 goals and have conceded 10 across their six Europa League matches, only eight times has the net rippled in six games involving Olympiacos (five scored, three conceded), so it is difficult to envisage how this contest will pan out. A closely-fought encounter could be on the cards, and with both teams determined not to lose their penultimate fixture, they may end up settling for a share of the spoils in Portugal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Olympiacos had a probability of 15.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Olympiacos win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
PortoDrawOlympiacos
62.71% (0.141 0.14) 21.65% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 15.64% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 47.66% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12% (0.027000000000001 0.03)48.88% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.03% (0.026 0.03)70.97% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85% (0.055000000000007 0.06)15% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.55% (0.104 0.1)43.45% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.07% (-0.11 -0.11)43.93% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.94% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)80.06% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Porto 62.7%
    Olympiacos 15.64%
    Draw 21.65%
PortoDrawOlympiacos
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.5% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.56% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2%
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 62.7%
1-1 @ 10.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.65%
0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.23% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 15.64%

How you voted: Porto vs Olympiacos

Porto
68.3%
Draw
16.7%
Olympiacos
15.0%
120
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2020 8pm
Group Stage
Olympiacos
0-2
Porto

Fortounis (43'), Semedo (52'), Rafinha (70')
Semedo (79')
Otavio (10' pen.), Uribe (77')
Nanu (27'), Diaz (75')
Oct 27, 2020 8pm
Group Stage
Porto
2-0
Olympiacos
Vieira (11'), Oliveira (85')
Corona (61'), Uribe (82'), Manafa (90')

Fortounis (80')
rhs 2.0
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