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COSAFA Cup | Third-Place Playoff
Jul 18, 2021 at 11am UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
Mozambique national football team

Eswatini
1 - 1
Mozambique

Martinho (39')
Candinho (70'), Muze (80'), Shaquille (88')
FT
(aet)
Mkhontfo (89')
Magagula (42')
Mozambique win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Third-Place Playoff clash between Eswatini and Mozambique.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (8.19%).

Result
EswatiniDrawMozambique
51.37%26.19%22.45%
Both teams to score 45.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.68%57.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.85%78.15%
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59%22.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.07%55.93%
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98%41.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.42%77.58%
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 51.36%
    Mozambique 22.45%
    Draw 26.18%
EswatiniDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 13.75%
2-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.16%
3-0 @ 5.13%
3-1 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 51.36%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 9.2%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.19%
1-2 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 3.65%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.21%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.45%

rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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