MX23RW : Friday, October 18 03:00:59| >> :600:3868915:3868915:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Audi-Sportpark

Ingolstadt
1 - 2
Kaiserslautern

Malone (88')
Lorenz (5'), Frode (83'), Cvjetinovic (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mause (3', 36')
Gyamerah (14'), Ritter (90+6'), Tomiak (90+6')
Gyamerah (49')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between FC Ingolstadt 04 and Kaiserslautern.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ingolstadt 1-1 Ulm
Saturday, July 27 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 2-2 Greuther Furth
Friday, August 9 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 51.84%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.

Result
FC Ingolstadt 04DrawKaiserslautern
24.15% (0.31 0.31) 24.02% (-0.093 -0.09) 51.84% (-0.215 -0.21)
Both teams to score 54.02% (0.646 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.61% (0.686 0.69)47.39% (-0.683 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (0.635 0.63)69.6% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)
FC Ingolstadt 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.1% (0.648 0.65)33.9% (-0.646 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (0.694 0.69)70.57% (-0.693 -0.69)
Kaiserslautern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (0.17899999999999 0.18)18.27% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (0.302 0.3)49.33% (-0.3 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    FC Ingolstadt 04 24.15%
    Kaiserslautern 51.83%
    Draw 24.01%
FC Ingolstadt 04DrawKaiserslautern
1-0 @ 6.7% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.16% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 3.62% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.22% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.15%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.093 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 10.52% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-2 @ 9.68% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.95% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-3 @ 5.49% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.07% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.33% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 51.83%

Head to Head
May 13, 2018 2.30pm
Dec 10, 2017 12.30pm
Kaiserslautern
1-1
Ingolstadt
Andersson (7')
Kessel (11'), Borrello (23')
Kessel (69')
Lezcano (79')
Levels (73')
rhs 2.0
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