Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Willem II and Jong AZ.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-2 Willem II
Friday, September 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, September 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | NAC Breda | 7 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Willem II | 6 | 1 | 9 |
10 | MVV Maastricht | 6 | -3 | 8 |
Last Game: Jong AZ 2-3 PEC Zwolle
Monday, September 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Monday, September 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Heracles | 6 | 8 | 13 |
5 | Jong AZ | 7 | 5 | 13 |
6 | VVV-Venlo | 6 | 0 | 12 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 20.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Willem II in this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Jong AZ |
57.26% ( 0.42) | 22.2% ( -0.11) | 20.55% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.48% ( 0.05) | 43.52% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.09% ( 0.05) | 65.91% ( -0.05) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.03% ( 0.15) | 14.96% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.61% ( 0.29) | 43.39% ( -0.3) |
Jong AZ Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.92% ( -0.29) | 35.08% ( 0.28) |