MX23RW : Monday, December 23 08:21:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 14
Jul 16, 2023 at 4pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
2 - 3
HamKam

Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (15'), Lundqvist (24')
Kristiansen (6')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Udahl (7' pen.), Olav Norheim (35'), Lonstad Onsrud (37')
Alexander Kirkevold (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and HamKam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stromsgodset 5-2 Sarpsborg
Sunday, July 9 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 2-1 Aalesund
Friday, July 7 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Sarpsborg 08 3-1 HamKam

HamKam have lost all six away league games this season, and we think that their away-day struggles will be exploited by a Sarpsborg side who have won three of their last four home matches in the Eliteserien. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 69.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for HamKam had a probability of 12.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a HamKam win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawHamKam
69.93% (0.393 0.39) 17.1% (-0.119 -0.12) 12.97% (-0.276 -0.28)
Both teams to score 56.39% (-0.406 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.1% (-0.121 -0.12)33.89% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.25% (-0.137 -0.14)55.75% (0.133 0.13)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.31% (0.054000000000002 0.05)8.69% (-0.058100000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.07% (0.136 0.14)29.92% (-0.142 -0.14)
HamKam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.75% (-0.486 -0.49)38.24% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.99% (-0.471 -0.47)75% (0.468 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 69.93%
    HamKam 12.97%
    Draw 17.1%
Sarpsborg 08DrawHamKam
2-0 @ 9.92% (0.113 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.12% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 8.08% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.93% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.74% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.41% (0.047 0.05)
5-1 @ 2.32% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.98% (0.021 0.02)
6-1 @ 0.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 69.93%
1-1 @ 7.8% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.32% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 17.1%
1-2 @ 3.75% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-1 @ 3.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 12.97%

How you voted: Sarpsborg vs HamKam

Sarpsborg 08
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
HamKam
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 21
Sarpsborg
2-1
HamKam
Skalevik (90+3'), Heintz (90+6' pen.)
Hernandez-Foster (5')
Jun 26, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 11
HamKam
3-2
Sarpsborg
Melgalvis (17'), Eriksen (44'), Enkerud (65')
Melgalvis (67'), Daskevics (90+1')
Kurucay (14' og.), Lindseth (42')
Horn (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt30188471314062
2SK BrannBrann30178555332259
3Viking FKViking FK30169561392257
4RosenborgRosenborg30165952391353
5MoldeMolde30157864362852
6Fredrikstad3014973935451
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset30108123240-838
8KFUM OsloKFUM30910113536-137
9Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg30107134355-1237
10SandefjordSandefjord3097144146-534
11KristiansundKristiansund30810123245-1334
12HamKam3089133439-533
13Tromso ILTromso3096153444-1033
14FK HaugesundHaugesund3096152946-1733
15Lillestrom3073203363-3024
16Odd3058172654-2823


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