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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
PSV

Almere City
0 - 4
PSV


Akujobi (28')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Til (26'), Lozano (42'), Veerman (66'), Pepi (90+3')
Boscagli (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 Almere City
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Arsenal 4-0 PSV
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Almere City 0-4 PSV Eindhoven

PSV should easily bounce back from their disappointing display in midweek by beating one of the favourites for relegation. Having already lost 4-1 here against Twente and 6-1 at Feyenoord, there is not much down for Almere, who are expected to fall to a fifth defeat from six. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.83%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 20.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.87%) and 0-1 (7.25%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-4 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
Almere CityDrawPSV Eindhoven
20.9% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 20.27% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 58.83% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.66% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.01% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)33.99% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.14% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)55.86% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)29.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)65.23% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)11.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.82% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)36.18% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 20.9%
    PSV Eindhoven 58.83%
    Draw 20.27%
Almere CityDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 4.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 20.9%
1-1 @ 8.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 3.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.27%
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.87% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 7.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.99% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 5.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 4.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-4 @ 3.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
2-5 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 58.83%

How you voted: Almere City vs PSV

Almere City
Draw
PSV Eindhoven
Almere City
4.8%
Draw
14.3%
PSV Eindhoven
81.0%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax28224260213970
2PSV EindhovenPSV28194581334861
3Feyenoord28168462323056
4FC UtrechtUtrecht2815855041953
5FC Twente28138754401447
6AZ AlkmaarAZ28137847321546
7Go Ahead Eagles2813695145645
8Heerenveen2897123549-1434
9Fortuna SittardSittard2896133347-1433
10Heracles28711103548-1332
11Groningen2888122741-1432
12Sparta RotterdamSparta28710113035-531
13NECNijmegen2886144042-230
14PEC Zwolle2879123443-930
15NAC BredaNAC Breda2886143048-1830
16Willem II2866162947-1824
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2847173456-2219
18Almere CityAlmere City2847172052-3219


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