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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 21.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Groningen |
55.5% ( -3.18) | 23.29% ( 1.39) | 21.21% ( 1.8) |
Both teams to score 52.64% ( -1.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% ( -3.62) | 47.41% ( 3.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.38% ( -3.45) | 69.63% ( 3.45) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.08% ( -2.33) | 16.92% ( 2.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.01% ( -4.3) | 46.99% ( 4.31) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.37% ( -0.24) | 36.64% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.58% ( -0.24) | 73.42% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Groningen |
1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.79) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.56) 3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.52) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.49) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.46) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.25) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.26) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.07% Total : 55.5% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.73) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.89) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.29% | 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.86) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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