Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Willem II |
58.23% ( -0.16) | 21.76% ( 0.16) | 20% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 55.81% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.7% ( -0.72) | 42.3% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.29% ( -0.73) | 64.7% ( 0.73) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.75% ( -0.29) | 14.24% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58% ( -0.56) | 42% ( 0.56) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.07% ( -0.42) | 34.92% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.33% ( -0.44) | 71.66% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Willem II |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 58.23% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.75% | 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 20% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |