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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 70.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 3-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
70.72% (![]() | 16.67% (![]() | 12.61% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.32% (![]() | 32.67% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.65% (![]() | 54.35% (![]() |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.78% (![]() | 8.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.26% (![]() | 28.74% (![]() |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.04% (![]() | 37.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.27% (![]() | 74.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-0 @ 9.74% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.43% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.11% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.86% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.79% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 3.36% Total : 70.72% | 1-1 @ 7.55% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.67% | 1-2 @ 3.66% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 1.81% Total : 12.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 12 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
4 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
5 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
8 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
9 | Willem II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
10 | Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
11 | FC Twente | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
12 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
14 | Go Ahead Eagles | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
16 | Heracles | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 1 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |