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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
40.32% ( 0.01) | 24.24% ( -0.16) | 35.43% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 60.35% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.76% ( 0.79) | 42.23% ( -0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.36% ( 0.79) | 64.64% ( -0.79) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.93% ( 0.35) | 21.06% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.12% ( 0.54) | 53.87% ( -0.54) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.45% ( 0.45) | 23.54% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.4% ( 0.65) | 57.6% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.32% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.15% Total : 35.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 5 | 22 | 24 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 19 |
3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
6 | Feyenoord | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
8 | Willem II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Groningen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
12 | Heracles | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 9 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
15 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
16 | NECNijmegen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 19 | -17 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 22 | -17 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |