MX23RW : Saturday, September 7 23:23:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
FC Twente logo

Utrecht
2 - 1
FC Twente

Toornstra (14'), Bozdogan (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lammers (11')
Bruns (19'), Taha (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NAC Breda 1-2 Utrecht
Saturday, August 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 1-1 Sparta
Saturday, August 17 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 1-0 FC Twente

Only one of the last four editions of this fixture has ended with both teams scoring, and another low-scoring affair could be on the cards here. We are backing Utrecht to come away with the points and inflict a first league defeat of the season on FC Twente. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawFC Twente
43.93% (1.062 1.06) 24.53% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 31.54% (-1.119 -1.12)
Both teams to score 58.06% (-0.675 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31% (-0.677 -0.68)44.68% (0.674 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (-0.655 -0.66)67.05% (0.655 0.66)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.193 0.19)20.45% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09% (0.306 0.31)52.91% (-0.307 -0.31)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (-1.027 -1.03)27.01% (1.027 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (-1.363 -1.36)62.37% (1.361 1.36)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 43.93%
    FC Twente 31.54%
    Draw 24.52%
FC UtrechtDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.109 0.11)
1-0 @ 8.77% (0.304 0.3)
2-0 @ 6.96% (0.281 0.28)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.68% (0.169 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.159 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.52%
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.73% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 31.54%

How you voted: Utrecht vs FC Twente

FC Utrecht
78.9%
Draw
5.3%
FC Twente
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 22
FC Twente
0-1
Utrecht
Toornstra (29')
Elkarouani (90+3')
Nov 5, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 11
Utrecht
1-1
FC Twente
Fraulo (23')
Flamingo (30'), van der Hoorn (35'), Azarkan (41')
Steijn (31' pen.)
Sadilek (45+6'), Ugalde (45+3'), Hilgers (90+3')
Sadilek (66')
Apr 16, 2023 1.30pm
Jan 22, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 17
FC Twente
2-0
Utrecht
Cerny (45+1'), Misidjan (64')
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Utrecht
1-1
FC Twente
Mahi (90+4')
van der Maarel (77'), Douvikas (82'), Maduro (90+7')
Van Wolfswinkel (17')
Oosterwolde (42'), Zerrouki (90+6')
Sadilek (51')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV44001831512
2AZ AlkmaarAZ431050510
3FC UtrechtUtrecht431063310
4Groningen42207348
5Fortuna SittardSittard32015326
6NECNijmegen42025326
7Sparta RotterdamSparta41304316
8Feyenoord31207345
9Willem II41215415
10Heerenveen31115234
11FC Twente31114404
12Ajax21012203
13PEC Zwolle410347-33
14Go Ahead Eagles410327-53
15NAC BredaNAC Breda4103411-73
16Heracles402227-52
17Almere CityAlmere City4013212-101
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk4004212-100


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