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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.85%) and 0-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 2-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
NAC Breda | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
16.31% ( -0.25) | 18.55% ( -0.15) | 65.14% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 60.05% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.62% ( 0.23) | 33.38% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.84% ( 0.26) | 55.16% ( -0.26) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.46% ( -0.14) | 33.54% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.82% ( -0.15) | 70.18% ( 0.16) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.35% ( 0.16) | 9.65% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.79% ( 0.37) | 32.21% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
NAC Breda | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.76% Total : 16.31% | 1-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.55% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 7.53% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 6.9% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 4.4% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 4.12% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.03% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.61% Total : 65.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |