Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.01%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 0-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
19.08% ( -0.21) | 19.9% ( -0.13) | 61.01% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 60.84% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.04% ( 0.28) | 34.96% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.06% ( 0.32) | 56.94% ( -0.31) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.46% ( -0.04) | 31.54% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.06% ( -0.05) | 67.94% ( 0.05) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.87% ( 0.18) | 11.13% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.44% ( 0.39) | 35.56% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.43% Total : 19.08% | 1-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.9% | 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.46% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 7.15% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.92% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 3.4% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 2-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.83% Total : 61.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |