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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 87.57%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 4.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.71%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
87.57% ( 0.33) | 8.3% ( -0.15) | 4.13% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 49.99% ( -0.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
79.33% ( -0.22) | 20.67% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
60.95% ( -0.31) | 39.05% ( 0.31) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.99% ( 0.01) | 3.01% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.43% ( 0.03) | 13.57% ( -0.03) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.54% ( -0.97) | 48.46% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.44% ( -0.71) | 83.56% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
3-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.1) 6-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.08) 7-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.06) 7-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 6-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.66% Total : 87.57% | 1-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 8.3% | 1-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 4.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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