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PSV
Champions League | League Stage
Nov 5, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadion
Girona logo

PSV
4 - 0
Girona

Flamingo (16'), Tillman (33'), Bakayoko (83'), Krejci (88' og.)
de Jong (40'), Karsdorp (58'), Dams (60'), Bakayoko (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Martinez (40'), Gil (48'), Gazzaniga (90+1'), Stuani (90+1')
Martinez (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-2 PSV
Saturday, November 2 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Girona 4-3 Leganes
Saturday, November 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-1 Girona

Though they have failed to replicate their stellar domestic form in Europe - even on home soil - PSV can surely score more than once against an injury-hit Girona side. It should be an open contest between two enterprising teams, and the hosts may just edge it, moving above their Spanish rivals in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Girona had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawGirona
66.07% (-1.503 -1.5) 18.76% (0.866 0.87) 15.17% (0.635 0.64)
Both teams to score 56.32% (-1.623 -1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.13% (-2.841 -2.84)36.87% (2.837 2.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.95% (-3.146 -3.15)59.04% (3.144 3.14)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.6% (-1.139 -1.14)10.39% (1.137 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.08% (-2.634 -2.63)33.92% (2.633 2.63)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.85% (-1.001 -1)37.15% (0.999 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.06% (-1.003 -1)73.93% (1.001 1)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 66.07%
    Girona 15.17%
    Draw 18.76%
PSV EindhovenDrawGirona
2-0 @ 9.9% (0.418 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.156 0.16)
1-0 @ 8.74% (0.776 0.78)
3-0 @ 7.47% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.4% (-0.253 -0.25)
4-0 @ 4.23% (-0.245 -0.25)
4-1 @ 4.19% (-0.364 -0.36)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.23 -0.23)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.243 -0.24)
5-0 @ 1.91% (-0.214 -0.21)
5-1 @ 1.9% (-0.271 -0.27)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 66.07%
1-1 @ 8.66% (0.551 0.55)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.86% (0.514 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.76%
1-2 @ 4.29% (0.162 0.16)
0-1 @ 3.82% (0.418 0.42)
0-2 @ 1.89% (0.161 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.17%

How you voted: PSV vs Girona

PSV Eindhoven
78.8%
Draw
13.1%
Girona
8.1%
335
rhs 2.0
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