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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2022 at 7pm UK
 
Vitesse

SBV Excelsior
3 - 1
Vitesse

Kharchouch (14', 20'), Goudmijn (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Frederiksen (29')
Tronstad (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitesse 2-5 Feyenoord
Sunday, August 7 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 Vitesse

Vitesse will be keen to make up for a disappointing defeat last time out, but they will be going up against an Excelsior side who have proven themselves to be a tough nut to crack in front of their fans. We are tipping the teams to cancel each other out and settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawVitesse
40.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.13% (0.012 0.01) 34.46% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 56.96% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.44% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)46.56% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)68.83% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.1% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)22.9% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)56.66% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)26.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)61.19% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 40.41%
    Vitesse 34.46%
    Draw 25.13%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawVitesse
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 40.41%
1-1 @ 11.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 34.46%

How you voted: SBV Excelsior vs Vitesse

SBV Excelsior
31.9%
Draw
27.8%
Vitesse
40.3%
72
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2021 7pm
Jan 18, 2019 7pm
Oct 20, 2018 5.30pm
Feb 17, 2018 5.30pm
Vitesse
1-2
SBV Excelsior
Castaignos (2')
Oude Kotte (81'), Serero (84'), van der Werff (89')
Faik (44'), Van Duinen (67')
van Duinen (75')
Sep 9, 2017 7.45pm
SBV Excelsior
0-3
Vitesse

Messaoud (55'), de Wijs (90')
Castaignos (45'), Matavz (53' pen.), Linssen (74')
Dabo (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV22163369244551
2Ajax21163245182751
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2212644034642
4AZ AlkmaarAZ22124638211740
5Feyenoord21116446262039
6FC Twente21106544301436
7Go Ahead Eagles219573934532
8Fortuna SittardSittard2275102940-1126
9Heerenveen2275102641-1526
10NAC BredaNAC Breda2282122641-1526
11NECNijmegen2173113230224
12Willem II2266102531-624
13PEC Zwolle2266102634-824
14Heracles225982839-1124
15Groningen2266101931-1224
16Sparta RotterdamSparta2248101932-1320
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2245133145-1417
18Almere CityAlmere City2134141243-3113


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