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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 0-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 2-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
18.9% | 19.81% | 61.3% |
Both teams to score 60.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.21% | 34.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.24% | 56.76% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.37% | 31.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.96% | 68.04% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89% | 11.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.71% | 35.29% |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 5.09% 1-0 @ 4.01% 2-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2.16% 3-1 @ 1.95% Other @ 3.39% Total : 18.9% | 1-1 @ 8.84% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 3.48% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.81% | 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-2 @ 8.48% 0-1 @ 7.68% 1-3 @ 7.18% 0-3 @ 6.24% 2-3 @ 4.13% 1-4 @ 3.96% 0-4 @ 3.44% 2-4 @ 2.28% 1-5 @ 1.75% 0-5 @ 1.52% 2-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.88% Total : 61.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |