Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a La Fiorita win with a probability of 63.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Zimbru had a probability of 12.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a La Fiorita win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.6%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.54%), while for a Zimbru win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.