Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a La Fiorita win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Zimbru had a probability of 14.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a La Fiorita win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Zimbru win it was 1-0 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.