Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Alcufer Stadion
Neman1 - 4Celje
Sukurov (82')
Evdokimov (52'), Parkhomenko (67')
Evdokimov (52'), Parkhomenko (67')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Neman and Celje.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Celje 1-0 Neman
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Celje 2-0 Rogaska
Sunday, August 13 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Sunday, August 13 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Neman had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Neman win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Neman | Draw | Celje |
31.1% ( -0.37) | 27.55% ( -0.1) | 41.34% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 48.24% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
