Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radnicki Kragujevac win with a probability of 61.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Mornar had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radnicki Kragujevac win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Mornar win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Radnicki Kragujevac in this match.