MX23RW : Monday, March 10 09:13:22| >> :60:2219:2219:
Bayern logo
Champions League | League Stage
Nov 6, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Allianz Arena
Benfica

Bayern
1 - 0
Benfica

Musiala (67')
Musiala (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kabore (26'), Kokcu (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farense 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, November 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Benfica

Benfica have let in at least two goals in each of their last five Champions League games with Bayern Munich, who have been in free-scoring mode since being left battered and bruised by Barcelona. Expect that trend to continue at the Allianz Arena, where Kompany's men should not emerge unscathed on the defensive front but will surely possess too much firepower for Lage's troops. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBenfica
46.52% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35) 23.91% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 29.57% (0.295 0.3)
Both teams to score 59.13% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.19% (-0.067 -0.07)42.8% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)65.21% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (-0.166 -0.17)18.59% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.13% (-0.278 -0.28)49.87% (0.278 0.28)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (0.163 0.16)27.36% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (0.212 0.21)62.83% (-0.213 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 46.52%
    Benfica 29.57%
    Draw 23.91%
Bayern MunichDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.2% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 46.52%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.049 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Bayern vs Benfica

Bayern Munich
82.6%
Draw
9.7%
Benfica
7.6%
340
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Bayern
5-2
Benfica
Lewandowski (26', 61', 84'), Gnabry (32'), Sane (49')
Upamecano (51'), Kouassi (69')
Morato (38'), Nunez (74')
Verissimo (45')
Oct 20, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-4
Bayern

Otamendi (45'), Mario (51')
Sane (70', 84'), Everton (80' og.), Lewandowski (82')
Upamecano (56'), Hernandez (59')
Nov 27, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Bayern
5-1
Benfica
Robben (13', 30'), Lewandowski (36', 51'), Ribery (76')
Robben (24'), Ribery (33')
Fernandes (46')
Semedo (87')
Sep 19, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-2
Bayern

Fejsa (22'), Jardel (39')
Lewandowski (10'), Sanches (54')
Kimmich (18'), Hummels (52')
Apr 13, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Benfica
2-2
Bayern
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!