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Bayern logo
Champions League | League Stage
Nov 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Benfica

Bayern
vs.
Benfica

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farense 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, November 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We say: Bayern Munich 3-1 Benfica

Benfica have let in at least two goals in each of their last five Champions League games with Bayern Munich, who have been in free-scoring mode since being left battered and bruised by Barcelona. Expect that trend to continue at the Allianz Arena, where Kompany's men should not emerge unscathed on the defensive front but will surely possess too much firepower for Lage's troops. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Benfica has a probability of 29.27% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Benfica win is 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.06%).

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBenfica
46.87% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 23.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 29.27% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 59.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.26% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)42.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.86% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)65.14% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.41% (0.0049999999999955 0)49.59% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)27.53% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)63.04% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 46.87%
    Benfica 29.27%
    Draw 23.85%
Bayern MunichDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 46.87%
1-1 @ 11.06%
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.27%

Who will win Wednesday's Champions League clash between Bayern and Benfica?

Bayern Munich
Draw
Benfica
Bayern Munich
92.3%
Draw
3.8%
Benfica
3.8%
52
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Bayern
5-2
Benfica
Lewandowski (26', 61', 84'), Gnabry (32'), Sane (49')
Upamecano (51'), Kouassi (69')
Morato (38'), Nunez (74')
Verissimo (45')
Oct 20, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-4
Bayern

Otamendi (45'), Mario (51')
Sane (70', 84'), Everton (80' og.), Lewandowski (82')
Upamecano (56'), Hernandez (59')
Nov 27, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Bayern
5-1
Benfica
Robben (13', 30'), Lewandowski (36', 51'), Ribery (76')
Robben (24'), Ribery (33')
Fernandes (46')
Semedo (87')
Sep 19, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-2
Bayern

Fejsa (22'), Jardel (39')
Lewandowski (10'), Sanches (54')
Kimmich (18'), Hummels (52')
Apr 13, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Benfica
2-2
Bayern
rhs 2.0
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