MX23RW : Thursday, April 3 21:13:16| >> :600:1154827:1154827:
Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 25, 2022 at 6pm UK
MOL Aréna Sóstó (Székesfehérvár)
Koln logo

Fehervar
0 - 3
FC Koln


Zivzivadze (65'), Heister (68'), Lednev (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hubers (10'), Skhiri (46'), Schindler (90+4')
Ljubicic (45+1'), Kilian (59'), Hector (89'), Schindler (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fehervar and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 Fehervar
Thursday, August 18 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
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We said: Fehervar 1-2 FC Koln (Koln to win on penalties after tie ends 3-3 on aggregate)

Despite Fehervar's success last week, we have to take into account the circumstances behind the win. That is why we feel that we have to back a win for the Bundesliga outfit, who we think will eventually prevail on penalties. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FehervarDrawFC Koln
36.95% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 26.58% (0.067 0.07) 36.46% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.29% (-0.232 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.36% (-0.29 -0.29)52.64% (0.286 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71% (-0.25 -0.25)74.28% (0.247 0.25)
Fehervar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)27.54% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (-0.225 -0.23)63.06% (0.221 0.22)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (-0.146 -0.15)27.83% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (-0.186 -0.19)63.43% (0.183 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Fehervar 36.95%
    FC Koln 36.46%
    Draw 26.58%
FehervarDrawFC Koln
1-0 @ 9.88% (0.063999999999998 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.95%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.087 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 9.8% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.27% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.46%

How you voted: Fehervar vs FC Koln

Fehervar
34.0%
Draw
14.0%
FC Koln
52.0%
50
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2022 7.30pm
FC Koln
1-2
Fehervar
Dietz (14')
Baumgart (47'), Skhiri (68'), Hector (90+5')
Chabot (21')
Zivzivadze (32'), Dardai (40')
Larsen (25'), Hangya (55'), Fiola (59'), Dardai (69'), Zivzivadze (85')
rhs 2.0
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