MX23RW : Thursday, April 3 05:07:30| >> :600:217848:217848:
Midtjylland
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
MCH Arena
Lazio logo

Midtjylland
5 - 1
Lazio

Paulinho (26'), Kaba (30'), Evander (52' pen.), Isaksen (67'), Sviatchenko (72')
Paulinho (55'), Lossl (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FC Midtjylland and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Midtjylland 1-2 Lazio

Back on the winning trail during the past week, and able to score from a variety of sources, Lazio should take advantage of their hosts' brittle confidence to post a second straight victory in Group H. They do not tend to travel well - particularly in Europe - but this week provides the perfect opportunity to start improving their sorry stats in that regard. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 43%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.

Result
FC MidtjyllandDrawLazio
43% (0.053999999999995 0.05) 24.93% (0.038 0.04) 32.06% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.9% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.7% (-0.199 -0.2)46.3% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.41% (-0.188 -0.19)68.59% (0.185 0.19)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)21.55% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)54.62% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-0.158 -0.16)27.47% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (-0.202 -0.2)62.96% (0.198 0.2)
Score Analysis
    FC Midtjylland 43%
    Lazio 32.06%
    Draw 24.93%
FC MidtjyllandDrawLazio
1-0 @ 9.09% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.65% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.06%

How you voted: Midtjylland vs Lazio

FC Midtjylland
11.7%
Draw
8.7%
Lazio
79.6%
343
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal301710355253061
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest30176750351557
4Manchester CityMan City30156957401751
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle29155949391050
6Chelsea29147853371649
7Aston Villa3013984445-148
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton30121174845347
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10Bournemouth301281049381144
11Brentford30125135147441
12Crystal Palace29101093734340
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd30107133741-437
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton30713103237-534
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3097143350-1734
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3085174158-1729
18Ipswich TownIpswich3048183063-3320
19Leicester CityLeicester3045212567-4217
20Southampton3024242271-4910


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