MX23RW : Saturday, November 2 20:15:20| >> :600:700101:700101:
Midtjylland
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
MCH Arena
Lazio logo

Midtjylland
5 - 1
Lazio

Paulinho (26'), Kaba (30'), Evander (52' pen.), Isaksen (67'), Sviatchenko (72')
Paulinho (55'), Lossl (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FC Midtjylland and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Midtjylland 1-2 Lazio

Back on the winning trail during the past week, and able to score from a variety of sources, Lazio should take advantage of their hosts' brittle confidence to post a second straight victory in Group H. They do not tend to travel well - particularly in Europe - but this week provides the perfect opportunity to start improving their sorry stats in that regard. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 43%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.

Result
FC MidtjyllandDrawLazio
43% (0.053999999999995 0.05) 24.93% (0.038 0.04) 32.06% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.9% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.7% (-0.199 -0.2)46.3% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.41% (-0.188 -0.19)68.59% (0.185 0.19)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)21.55% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)54.62% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-0.158 -0.16)27.47% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (-0.202 -0.2)62.96% (0.198 0.2)
Score Analysis
    FC Midtjylland 43%
    Lazio 32.06%
    Draw 24.93%
FC MidtjyllandDrawLazio
1-0 @ 9.09% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.65% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.06%

How you voted: Midtjylland vs Lazio

FC Midtjylland
11.7%
Draw
8.7%
Lazio
79.6%
343
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Arsenal105321711618
5Aston Villa95311611518
6Chelsea95221911817
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
8Bournemouth104331312115
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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