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FA Cup
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FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Luton Town

Bolton
1 - 2
Luton

Charles (11')
Forrester (27')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Chong (15'), Ogbene (57')
Mengi (31'), Clark (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Bolton Wanderers and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Bolton
Wednesday, January 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Luton Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Luton
Friday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Premier League

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Luton Town

 Bolton showed that they can match Luton when the two teams locked horns earlier this month, and we are expecting another close game here. Bolton have enough quality to triumph, but we just have a feeling that Luton will be able to navigate their way into the fourth round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawLuton Town
59.45% (0.0040000000000049 0) 20.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 19.79% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 58.92% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.97% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)38.03% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.71% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)60.29% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.5% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)12.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.5%38.5% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.21% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 59.45%
    Luton Town 19.79%
    Draw 20.77%
Bolton WanderersDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.85%
3-0 @ 6.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.83%
4-1 @ 3.56%
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.99%
5-1 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 59.45%
1-1 @ 9.5%
2-2 @ 5.53%
0-0 @ 4.08%
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.77%
1-2 @ 5.32%
0-1 @ 4.57%
0-2 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 19.79%

How you voted: Bolton vs Luton

Bolton Wanderers
31.4%
Draw
17.1%
Luton Town
51.4%
70
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 2pm
Third Round
Luton
0-0
Bolton
Clark (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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