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Premier League
Luton Town
Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 10, 2023 at 2pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Manchester City logo

Luton
1 - 2
Man City

Adebayo (45+2')
Nakamba (58'), Doughty (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Silva (62'), Grealish (65')
Rodri (73')

The Match

Match Report

Manchester City come from behind to beat Luton Town 2-1 at Kenilworth Road and end their four-game winless run in the Premier League.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Luton Town.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Luton Town on Sunday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Luton 3-4 Arsenal
Tuesday, December 5 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Manchester City

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Man City
Wednesday, December 6 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 68.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 13.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Luton Town win it was 2-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawManchester City
13.34% (0.013 0.01) 17.95% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 68.71% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.83% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)37.16% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.63% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)59.36% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.14% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)39.86% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.48% (0.0039999999999978 0)76.52% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.17% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)9.83% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.37% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)32.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 13.34%
    Manchester City 68.71%
    Draw 17.95%
Luton TownDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 3.84% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-0 @ 3.6% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.37%
3-1 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 13.34%
1-1 @ 8.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.95%
0-2 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 9.09% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 8.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-4 @ 4.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.45%
0-5 @ 2.19% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 2.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-5 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 68.71%

How you voted: Luton vs Man City

Luton Town
17.9%
Draw
3.8%
Manchester City
78.2%
156
rhs 2.0
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