MX23RW : Saturday, September 7 23:36:47| >> :600:7374574:7374574:
Bradford Park Avenue
FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Horsfall Stadium

Bradford Park Av
2 - 3
Stocksbridge

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Bradford Park Avenue and Stocksbridge Park Steels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-2 Fylde
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Stocksbridge 2-1 Prestwich Heys
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stocksbridge Park Steels win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stocksbridge Park Steels win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stocksbridge Park Steels would win this match.

Result
Bradford Park AvenueDrawStocksbridge Park Steels
36.8% (0.437 0.44) 23.95% (0.133 0.13) 39.24% (-0.574 -0.57)
Both teams to score 61.6% (-0.46100000000001 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.32% (-0.616 -0.62)40.67% (0.61199999999999 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.94% (-0.634 -0.63)63.06% (0.631 0.63)
Bradford Park Avenue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.89% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)22.11% (0.052000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.52% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)55.47% (0.078999999999994 0.08)
Stocksbridge Park Steels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (-0.539 -0.54)20.91% (0.535 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.37% (-0.845 -0.84)53.63% (0.843 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Bradford Park Avenue 36.8%
    Stocksbridge Park Steels 39.24%
    Draw 23.95%
Bradford Park AvenueDrawStocksbridge Park Steels
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.071 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.183 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 36.8%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.62% (0.129 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.085 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.46% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 39.24%

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