MX23RW : Saturday, September 7 23:43:45| >> :600:7374992:7374992:
Concord Rangers
FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Thames Road

Concord Rangers
1 - 3
Milton Keynes Irish

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Concord Rangers and Milton Keynes Irish.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastbourne 2-1 Concord Rangers
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Milton Keynes Irish 2-0 Welwyn Garden
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Milton Keynes Irish win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Milton Keynes Irish win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.96%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Milton Keynes Irish would win this match.

Result
Concord RangersDrawMilton Keynes Irish
37.22% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 23.74% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 39.03% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 62.44% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.39% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)39.6% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.05% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)61.95% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Concord Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.58% (0.013000000000005 0.01)21.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)54.42% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Milton Keynes Irish Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)20.54% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (-0.052 -0.05)53.05% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Concord Rangers 37.22%
    Milton Keynes Irish 39.03%
    Draw 23.73%
Concord RangersDrawMilton Keynes Irish
2-1 @ 8.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 37.22%
1-1 @ 10.72%
2-2 @ 6.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 8.49% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 39.03%

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