FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 12.45pm UK
Stadium of Light
Sunderland0 - 3Newcastle
The Match
Match Report
Newcastle United book their spot in the fourth round of the FA Cup courtesy of a 3-0 win over Sunderland in Saturday's Tyne-Wear derby.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Sunderland and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Preston
Monday, January 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Monday, January 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Liverpool 4-2 Newcastle
Monday, January 1 at 8pm in Premier League
Monday, January 1 at 8pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Newcastle United |
45.57% ( 0.44) | 23.07% ( 0.03) | 31.36% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 63.24% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
