MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:50:23| >> :60:1223:1223:
Newcastle logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park
Milan logo

Newcastle
1 - 2
AC Milan

Joelinton (33')
Joelinton (72'), Schar (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pulisic (59'), Chukwueze (84')
Leao (40'), Maignan (45+1'), Jovic (78'), Musah (80'), Florenzi (90')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United's first Champions League journey in 21 years ends at the first hurdle as AC Milan come from behind to prevail 2-1 in their final Group F encounter.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Newcastle United and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 4-1 Newcastle
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawAC Milan
49.27% (0.51000000000001 0.51) 24.28% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 26.45% (-0.591 -0.59)
Both teams to score 55.48% (-0.785 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.46% (-0.801 -0.8)46.54% (0.80399999999999 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.18% (-0.759 -0.76)68.82% (0.761 0.76)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05% (-0.107 -0.11)18.95% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.53% (-0.182 -0.18)50.47% (0.184 0.18)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (-0.876 -0.88)31.55% (0.879 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (-1.024 -1.02)67.95% (1.026 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 49.27%
    AC Milan 26.45%
    Draw 24.28%
Newcastle UnitedDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.299 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.221 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 49.27%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.28%
0-1 @ 6.9% (0.068 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 26.45%

How you voted: Newcastle vs AC Milan

Newcastle United
57.0%
Draw
16.1%
AC Milan
26.9%
186
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
AC Milan
0-0
Newcastle
Calabria (40'), Musah (82'), Giroud (83'), Krunic (89')
Schar (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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