
Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park

Newcastle1 - 2AC Milan
The Match
Match Report
Newcastle United's first Champions League journey in 21 years ends at the first hurdle as AC Milan come from behind to prevail 2-1 in their final Group F encounter.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Newcastle United and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spurs 4-1 Newcastle
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Atalanta 3-2 AC Milan
Saturday, December 9 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, December 9 at 5pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | AC Milan |
49.27% (![]() | 24.28% (![]() | 26.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.48% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.46% (![]() | 46.54% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.18% (![]() | 68.82% (![]() |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.05% (![]() | 18.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.53% (![]() | 50.47% (![]() |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.45% (![]() | 31.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.05% (![]() | 67.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United 49.27%
AC Milan 26.45%
Draw 24.28%
Newcastle United | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 9.95% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.54% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.27% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 3.21% Total : 49.27% | 1-1 @ 11.47% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.9% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.62% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 2.77% Total : 26.45% |
How you voted: Newcastle vs AC Milan
Newcastle United
57.0%Draw
16.1%AC Milan
26.9%186
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-03-11 00:30:07

Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 29 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 69 | 27 | 42 | 70 |
2 | Arsenal | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 55 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 51 |
4 | Chelsea | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 47 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 47 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 46 |
8 | Aston Villa | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 45 |
9 | Bournemouth | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 44 |
10 | Fulham | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 42 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Brentford | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 38 |
13 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 34 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 34 |
15 | Everton | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 33 |
16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 33 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 23 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 28 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 17 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 25 | 62 | -37 | 17 |
20 | Southampton | 28 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 68 | -48 | 9 |
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