MX23RW : Wednesday, September 11 13:09:04| >> :60:1702:1702:
Ajax
Club Friendlies
Jul 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Rangers logo

Ajax
2 - 1
Rangers

Fitz-Jim (28'), van den Boomen (40')
Hato (78'), Tahirovic (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lawrence (33')
Raskin (39'), Lawrence (57'), McCausland (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly match between Ajax and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Sint-Truiden
Tuesday, July 9 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Celtic 1-0 Rangers
Saturday, May 25 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

We said: Ajax 1-0 Rangers

Still finding their match-fitness, Rangers will be exposed to an Ajax team that is a little further along in terms of pre-season preparation, so the Scottish side's second friendly of the summer could end in defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.37%) and 3-2 (4.74%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
AjaxDrawRangers
43.4% (0.013000000000005 0.01) 21.39% (0.0040000000000013 0) 35.2% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 71.32% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.04% (-0.023999999999987 -0.02)27.95% (0.02 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.31% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)48.68% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.06% (-0.005999999999986 -0.01)13.93% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)41.4% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.87% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)17.12% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.65% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)47.34% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 43.4%
    Rangers 35.2%
    Draw 21.39%
AjaxDrawRangers
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 4.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.63% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.04%
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 8.3% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 7.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-0 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 21.39%
1-2 @ 7.32%
1-3 @ 4.31% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-3 @ 4.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.87% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 35.2%

How you voted: Ajax vs Rangers

Ajax
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Rangers
50.0%
24
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Rangers
1-3
Ajax
Tavernier (87' pen.)
Berghuis (4'), Kudus (29'), Conceicao (89')
Sep 7, 2022 5.45pm
Group Stage
Ajax
4-0
Rangers
Alvarez (17'), Berghuis (32'), Kudus (33'), Bergwijn (80')
rhs 2.0
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