MX23RW : Friday, January 17 19:25:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
Apr 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Excelsior

Ajax
2 - 2
Excelsior

Rensch (27'), Akpom (89')
Tahirovic (68'), Benita (73')
Bergwijn (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Baas (38' pen.), Lamprou (53')
Horemans (67'), Gaaei (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-1 FC Twente
Sunday, April 14 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Excelsior 4-0 Volendam
Friday, April 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-0 SBV Excelsior

 Although Ajax have been inconsistent over a prolonged period of time, the manner of their success over Twente has the potential to flick a switch. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to secure another welcome win on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 78%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 9.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 3-0 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.07%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawSBV Excelsior
78% (2.542 2.54) 12.65% (-1.322 -1.32) 9.34% (-1.2191 -1.22)
Both teams to score 62.29% (1.078 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.62% (3.137 3.14)21.38% (-3.136 -3.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.96% (4.249 4.25)40.03% (-4.248 -4.25)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.57% (1.027 1.03)4.42% (-1.026 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.79% (3.09 3.09)18.21% (-3.089 -3.09)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16% (0.43000000000001 0.43)34.83% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.43% (0.451 0.45)71.56% (-0.449 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 78%
    SBV Excelsior 9.34%
    Draw 12.65%
AjaxDrawSBV Excelsior
3-1 @ 8.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.579 -0.58)
3-0 @ 7.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.643 -0.64)
4-1 @ 6.4% (0.419 0.42)
4-0 @ 6.07% (0.331 0.33)
1-0 @ 4.8% (-0.787 -0.79)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.044 0.04)
5-1 @ 3.99% (0.512 0.51)
5-0 @ 3.79% (0.445 0.45)
4-2 @ 3.38% (0.257 0.26)
5-2 @ 2.11% (0.291 0.29)
6-1 @ 2.08% (0.387 0.39)
6-0 @ 1.97% (0.348 0.35)
4-3 @ 1.19% (0.103 0.1)
6-2 @ 1.1% (0.215 0.22)
7-1 @ 0.93% (0.223 0.22)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 78%
1-1 @ 5.07% (-0.761 -0.76)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.254 -0.25)
0-0 @ 1.54% (-0.38 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 12.65%
1-2 @ 2.67% (-0.366 -0.37)
0-1 @ 1.62% (-0.378 -0.38)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 9.34%

How you voted: Ajax vs Excelsior

Ajax
90.9%
Draw
4.5%
SBV Excelsior
4.5%
44
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
Excelsior
2-2
Ajax
Horemans (45+1'), Agrafiotis (48')
Brobbey (25'), Klaassen (72')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 19
Excelsior
1-4
Ajax
El Yaakoubi (36')
Tadic (15' pen.), Klaassen (45'), Kudus (61'), Rensch (83')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 10
Ajax
7-1
Excelsior
Sanchez (15'), Berghuis (26'), Brobbey (44', 59'), Tadic (65'), Bergwijn (75'), Kudus (81')
Agrafiotis (90')
> Preview
Apr 13, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Ajax
6-2
Excelsior
Huntelaar (10', 40', 65'), Tadic (37', 60' pen.), Dolberg (75')
Mazraoui (4'), Ekkelenkamp (84')
El Hamdaoui (42'), Fortes (89')
Fortes (32'), Koolwijk (43'), El Hamdaoui (49')
Nov 11, 2018 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
Excelsior
1-7
Ajax
Messaoud (52')
Fortes (25'), Haspolat (25'), Matthys (43')
Van de Beek (31', 48'), Schone (44'), Dolberg (58'), Schouten (71' og.), Ziyech (79'), Neres (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV18151261154646
2Ajax18133239172242
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1812333629739
4Feyenoord18105341231835
5FC Twente18104438231534
6AZ AlkmaarAZ18103533191433
7Go Ahead Eagles188463327628
8Fortuna SittardSittard187472528-325
9Heerenveen187382133-1224
10Willem II186482325-222
11NAC BredaNAC Breda1871102131-1022
12NECNijmegen1862102424020
13PEC Zwolle184591627-1117
14Groningen174581426-1217
15Heracles173681934-1515
16Sparta RotterdamSparta182791527-1213
17Almere CityAlmere City1824121037-2710
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1814131943-247
> Eredivisie Full Table


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