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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.18%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
29.08% ( -0) | 20.91% ( -0) | 50.01% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 69.97% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.52% ( 0.01) | 28.48% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.66% ( 0.01) | 49.34% ( -0) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.56% ( 0) | 20.44% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.1% ( 0) | 52.9% ( -0) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.95% ( 0) | 12.05% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.45% ( 0.01) | 37.55% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 6.57% 1-0 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.68% 3-1 @ 3.48% 2-0 @ 3.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.46% 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.08% | 1-1 @ 8.28% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.95% 3-3 @ 2.59% 0-0 @ 2.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 5.52% 0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.9% 0-3 @ 3.89% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.27% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.59% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.06% 1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.37% 2-5 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |