We said: Rangers 1-1 Ajax
With Ajax likely to rest a few key players given their strong position in terms of holding onto third spot in Group A, we can envisage Rangers salvaging some pride with a positive result on Tuesday.
It is incredibly unlikely to be the manner of victory they would need in order to drop down to the Europa League rather than crashing out of Europe, but it would at least ensure that they avoid ending their involvement in the Champions League without a point to their name.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Rangers win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.